H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Charity Hospital ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has enhanced modestly since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer guidance is now suggesting that the storm may wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and incredibly effective cyclone that caused huge damage and significant death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record formerly held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, along with large areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane warnings have actually now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means typhoon conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy ought to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a typhoon that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the typhoon center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated typhoon cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a danger to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is just the third hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists formerly warned hurricanes could form in unusual areas later on in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major risks and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy